introducing infant-mortality risk into an other-
wise reliable system or component.
RCM shows that fixed age limits and sched-
uled overhauls are technically feasible only if:
1. There is an identifiable age (TBO) after
which the item shows a rapid increase in the con-
ditional probability of failure (i.e., an obvious
wear-out zone); and
2. Most of the items survive to that age; that
is, there are relatively few premature failures.
To learn more about RCM, read:
• Reliability-Centered Maintenance,
John Moubray. Second edition. 1997. ISBN
0-8311-3078-4.
• Reliability-Centered Maintenance.
The original 1978 Nowlan & Heap report
is available from the National Technical
Information Service ( www.NTIS.gov).
The document number is ADA066579.
On-COnditiOn MaintenanCe
On-condition maintenance consists of checking
for potential failures so that action can be taken to
prevent functional failures before they occur.
Although RCM has revealed that there is often
little or no relationship between time-in-service
and likelihood of failure, most failures give some
sort of warning that they are about to occur. If we
can detect these warnings in time, we may be able
to take maintenance action to prevent the failure
and avoid its consequences; see Figure 5: FIGURE 5
P-F Interval
Condition
Time
performed at intervals that are less than the P-F
interval. In practice, it is usually optimal to implement a task frequency that corresponds to about
one-half of the P-F interval. (If the P-F interval is
100 hours, we need to inspect every 50 hours to
ensure that we will detect a potential failure in
plenty of time to avert a total failure.) Such condition monitoring is considered to be technically
feasible if:
FIGURE 1
• It is possible to identify a well-defined and
reliably detectable potential failure condition;
Conditional
Probability of Failure
• The P-F interval is reasonably consistent and
predictable; and
• It is practical to inspect or monitor the item
at an interval approximately one-half the P-F
interval.
Useful Life Wear
Out
Zone
Next month, we’ll get down to the nitty-gritty
of how we can apply RCM principles to the maintenance of our piston-powered general aviation
airplanes, with special emphasis on piston aircraft
engines.
Introducing PCASTM Portable Collision
Avoidance System, the only portable
collision avoidance system to deliver
quadrant bearing, using relative
altitude and range of the top 3 most
threatening aircrafts. Displayed in a
portable, self-contained module with
integration capabilities to most
moving map systems.
Figure 5—The P-F curve. P is the point where an incipient (
potential) failure becomes detectable, and F is the point where total
(functional) failure occurs.
FIGURE 3
If a developing failure can be detected somewhere between point P (where it first becomes
detectable) and point F (where total failure
occurs), it may be possible to take action to prevent the consequences of the failure. Whether or
not it is technically feasible to do this depends on
how quickly the failure occurs, how far in advance
it becomes detectable, and how difficult it is to
detect the potential failure.
Conditional
Probability of Failure
Infant
Mortality
Wear
Out
Zone
AGE
The warning period between the occurrence of
a detectable potential failure and its decay into a
total functional failure is known as the “P-F interval” in RCM speak. It may be measured in hours,
cycles, calendar months, or any other appropriate
metric. To detect failures reliably before they
occur, on-condition maintenance tasks must be
FIGURE 4
A
4%
FIGURE 2
Mike Busch, National Aviation Maintenance Technician
of the Year for 2008, has been a pilot for more than 44 years
and has logged more than 7,000 hours. He is a certificated
flight instructor and an airframe and powerplant mechanic
with an inspection authorization. Questions for Mike may be
e-mailed to mike.busch@savvyaviator.com.
Conditional
Probability of Failure
Earliest
Known
Failure
Safe
Life
Limit
AGE
D